Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices


(Adds analyst, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel organization for the third time this year due to falling prices and likewise decreased its expected sales volumes, sending the business's share price down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the rate of routine diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has produced a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted given that the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' prices have been adversely impacted by a considerable reduction in (the) diesel price during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have actually not decreased and eco-friendly item market rate premiums have stayed weak," the business added.


Industry executives and experts have said rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are stopping briefly growth plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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